# Lumos Business > Agentic business experiments — I am entrepreneur at heart with a background in tech startups from the business side. Now that we have Claude Code and other related tools, I am shipping product prototypes instead of creating PowerPoint's about them. This site is a record of that journey on both ends; the business model research (Archived in Analyses) and the agentic research (published in the Notebook). ## Entity - Name: Joel Finningley - Location: Calgary, Alberta, Canada - Languages: en, pt - Focus: agentic unit economics; agentic-human business models; business model innovation; commerce-model transitions - Track record: 153 published business-model analyses across seven domains, preserved in the site archive (2019–2025) - Track record: This site: a record-first rebuild, publicly documented — the lab's first prototype ## Analyses 153 analyses across 7 domains. Full index: https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/ By format: Business Model Canvas (33) — https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/format/canvas/ · Business Model Trends (8) — https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/format/trend/ · Method (15) — https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/format/method/ · Analysis (97) — https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/format/analysis/ ### Fintech & financial services Business models of banks, neobanks, payments, BNPL, brokerages and the public-market routes they take. (36) — https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/domain/fintech/ - [Digital Banks, IPOs & Consumer Trust](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/digital-banks-ipos-consumer-trust/): Trust will win in the end. - [Qapital Business Model Analysis](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/qapital-business-model/): The emergence of Qapital as a growing and relatively popular PFM app signals that the market for “budgeting apps” may be heating up. - [The Digital Banking Business Model – 2023 Outlook](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/digital-banking-business-model/): At this juncture in market history, an interchange-based payments model does not appear sustainable as a standalone model for Digital Banks. - [Strategy – Revolut + ‘Pay With Crypto’](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/strategy-payments-revolut-pay-with-crypto/) - [Strategy – Nubank + Nucoin Token](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/strategy-banking-nubank-nucoin-token/): The strategy behind Nucoin is to rewards users, almost as a loyalty program. - [Micropayments Business Model](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/micropayments-business-model-vision/): Overall, Micropayments are the probable ‘game changer’ of the future media models that revolve around incentivizing the top creators and creating new, scalable revenue streams. - [Stripe Business Model](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/stripe-business-model-analytics/): Future markets around Embedded Finance and B2B Payments will create new demand for elegant and simple solutions, for which Stripe is perfectly placed to execute on. - [Square (Block) Business Model](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/square-block-business-model-analytics/): Overall, Block has a very complicated business model between merchant and P2P Payments, Banking Subscription and Services, Bitcoin, and BNPL. - [Venmo Business Model](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/venmo-business-model-analytics/): the business model for Venmo – now that they have a network of ~90 million users across the U.S. – is to begin to generate more merchant transactions where they make their payment processing margin - [Future Banking Business Model](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/future-banking-business-model/): Overall, the future banking business model likely looks much different than the current banking business model. - [Strategy & Business Model – N26 Brazil](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/strategy-business-model-n26-brazil/): Brazil may be an optimal market for N26 to try honing both its brand messaging and new business model in order to bring back the rapid growth the company saw in its earlier years. - [Strategy & Business Model – Afterpay Money](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/strategy-business-model-afterpay-money/): Afterpay is hoping to ride the demographic tailwinds of the younger generations and make a big splash in the retail banking sector with its Afterpay Money strategy and business model. - [Strategy & Business Model – Revolut Super App](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/strategy-business-model-revolut-super-app/): Revolut’s strategy shift towards a ‘financial super app’ will have significant impacts on their business model, and ultimately their success in the long-term. - [Business Model Canvas – Nubank](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/business-model-canvas-nubank/): Nubank’s primary revenue streams are built around the company’s credit card business. - [Finance – IPO Democratization](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/finance-ipo-democratization/): IPO Democratization is not another trend, it is a new channel for retail investors to invest alongside institutional investors on promising IPOs. - [Business Model Canvas – Brex](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/business-model-canvas-brex-business-banking/): The fragmentation in the business banking world has created an opportunity to companies like Brex to become household names among startups and SMBs looking for corporate cards, B2B payments, and other expense-management solutions. - [Business Model Canvas – Robinhood](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/business-model-canvas-robinhood-stock-trading/): Robinhood is using the PFOF revenue model to build its platform and expand into other areas of the market. - [Business Model Canvas – SoFi](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/business-model-canvas-sofi-social-finance/): the principal way that SoFi makes money is by lending to its customers - [Marqeta Business Model & IPO](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/finance-marqeta-ipo/) - [New Retail – BNPL (Buy Now Pay Later)](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/new-retail-bnpl-buy-now-pay-later/) - [Business Model Canvas – Klarna](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/business-model-canvas-klarna/) - [Business Model Canvas – Affirm](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/business-model-canvas-affirm/): As we will see in this Business Model Canvas post, the company’s ambitions go far beyond credit. - [Business Model Canvas – Mint](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/business-model-canvas-mint-budget-planner/): All told, Mint is not only reinventing its product, but potentially also its business model. - [Business Model Innovation – BNPL (Buy-Now-Pay-Later)](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/business-model-innovation-bnpl-buy-now-pay-later/): The business model innovation in BNPL is part payment processing, part banking. - [Business Model Canvas – Payments](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/business-model-canvas-payments/): Payments is a complex, fragmented, multi-trillion dollar industry that is currently in the throes of disruption. - [Business Model Canvas – Chime](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/business-model-canvas-chime/): Chime’s business model is different than virtually all of the other Neobanks. - [Finance – SPAC, Direct Listing, IPO](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/finance-spac-direct-listing-ipo/): Overall, SPACs add another layer of intrigue to public markets. - [Business Model Innovation – Apple Pay](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/business-model-innovation-apple-pay/): Apple Pay is a good example of Business Model Innovation (BMi). - [Business Model Canvas – Banking](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/business-model-canvas-banking/): the banking business model is built around NIM (Net Interest Margin) and AUM (Assets Under Management). - [Business Model Canvas – Equity Crowdfunding](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/business-model-canvas-equity-crowdfunding/): Now, we see platforms and volumes expanding exponentially around the world, with equity crowdfunding becoming a core component of the new venture-capital infrastructure. - [Business Model Canvas – Wise](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/business-model-canvas-transferwise/): Transferwise (Wise) is a borderless, digital-only currency exchange platform - [Business Model Canvas – Monzo](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/business-model-canvas-monzo/): Monzo is a UK-based Digital Bank with a focus on customer experience and user-friendly design to help separate it from the über-competitive market. - [Business Model Canvas – Revolut](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/business-model-canvas-revolut/): Revolut is a digital, branchless challenger bank based in the UK that offers frictionless low-fee banking and free intra-currency transfers to both consumers and businesses. - [Business Model Canvas – N26](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/business-model-canvas-n26/): N26 is ‘the Mobile Bank,’ one of the world’s top challenger banks based out of Germany - [Business Model Canvas – Finance 2.0](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/business-model-canvas-finance-2-0/) - [Business Model Innovation – Afterpay Touch](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/business-model-innovation-afterpay-touch/): it’s clear that in the age of eCommerce and oversaturated consumers, AfterPay has a winning formula ### Platforms, media & creator economy How platforms, media businesses and individual creators assemble, bundle and monetise attention. (26) — https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/domain/platforms-media/ - [Micropayments, Tipping & On-Chain Social](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/micropayments-tipping-on-chain-social/): At the blockchain or digital currency level, there are fees (gas or transaction fees), but the continual innovation at the technology level will likely enable micropayments to work at scale. - [Livestreams, Community & Commerce](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/livestreaming-community-commerce/): Commerce relies on trust, which is why building a community around a brand is becoming increasingly more important. - [Fractional CMO Business Model](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/fractional-cmo-business-model/): The Fractional CMO (Chief Marketing Officer) model has emerged as an alternative to the Digital Agency model. - [Digital Agency Business Model](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/digital-agency-business-model/): The Digital Agency business model is under pressure. - [Selling Digital Goods / Business Model](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/selling-digital-goods-business-model/) - [The Community Business Model](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/community-business-model/) - [Video Ads Business Model](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/video-ads-business-model-vision/): Creators may end up being the big surprise in this market long-term, and tip the scales for the little guy. - [Podcast Business Model](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/podcast-business-model-vision/): Overall, Podcast is starting to take shape to become a ‘New Radio’ but with several key differences. - [Search Engine Business Model](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/search-engine-business-model-vision/): If one thing has become apparent over the course of this post, it is that despite Google’s absolute dominance in the market, they are unlikely to be able to hold onto it in its entirety long-term (ie. they will have less than 90% market share in the future). - [Digital Art Business Model](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/digital-art-business-model-vision/): As the market develops, the fragmentation will lead to consolidation and more simplistic models will emerge. - [Photography Business Model](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/photography-business-model-vision/): Overall, the concept of photography and art can be fused to explore future business models. - [Apple Search Ads Business Model](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/strategy-business-model-apple-search-ads/) - [Digital Music Business Model](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/digital-music-business-model-vision/): Micropayments may be one type of meta-innovation that helps change this market for the better! - [New Media Business Model](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/new-media-business-model-vision/) - [Bluesky Business Model](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/bluesky-social-internet-business-model-vision/): In sum, the vision here is nothing less than trying to reinvent the structure of the social internet - [Twitter Business Model](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/twitter-business-model-vision/) - [Business Model Trends – Social Apps 3.0](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/social-apps-business-model-trends/) - [Community is the Next Business Model Thrust](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/community-next-business-model-thrust/): Community is the next major Business Model Thrust in the next few years, similar to how social networks were about a decade ago. - [Business Model Innovation – Spotify Audio Ads](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/business-model-innovation-spotify-audio-ads/): Now Spotify is the process of scaling-up its emerging Audio Ads business model. - [Business Model Innovation – Twitter Blue](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/business-model-innovation-twitter/) - [Strategy – Platform Dynamics](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/strategy-platform-dynamics/): The more that business models shift online, the more the underlying economy is affected by ‘platform dynamics’ and the business model innovation (BMi) associated with those dynamics. - [Business Model Canvas – Bandcamp](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/business-model-canvas-bandcamp/): Bandcamp has a simple business model in an industry that is notorious for ripping the artists off: music. - [Business Model Innovation – Future Media Bundle](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/business-model-innovation-future-media-bundle/): Layer 2 of the Rebundle is scaling the content onto platforms where there is a monetizable audience for it. - [Business Model Canvas – New Media](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/business-model-canvas-new-media/): But for media to regain its credibility and trust with the public, it needs to take a Community-Centric approach and be transparent about both its business model and any funding it receives. - [Business Model Canvas – Spotify](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/business-model-canvas-spotify/) - [Strategy Defined in the Digital Economy](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/strategy-defined-digital-economy/): Strategy is an action to survive and profit in the new wave of disruption. ### Emerging technology Business models of emerging technology — what a new capability makes possible, who captures the value it creates, and how the model changes once the technology stops being new. (11) — https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/domain/technology/ - [Generative AI Business Model](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/generative-ai-business-model/): The overarching point is that by any objective standard, we are in a speculative frenzy. - [Consumer Startups, AI & Capital Flows](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/consumer-startups-ai-capital-flows/): many new consumer companies will likely be launched in new and creative ways across platforms where they can access capital efficiently - [Software, AI & Saas Business Model](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/software-ai-saas-business-model/): The Saas business model is likely to be transformed significantly in the next 5 years. - [Search, AI & Product Discovery](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/search-ai-product-discovery/): Humans can build trust in different ways, and so it’s no longer about trusting Google or other mainstream search platforms for product and service recommendations, but rather a more ‘Social Search’ on TikTok and other video-centric platforms. - [Creatives, AI & Visual Media](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/creatives-ai-visual-media/) - [Sales, AI & Business Writing](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/sales-ai-business-writing/) - [New Tech: Community Networks](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/new-tech-community-networks/): The innovation in community networks is harnessing the balance between text, voice, and video to create that ‘vibe’ of trust, connection, and ultimately community. - [New Tech: Notion](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/new-tech-notion/) - [New Tech: NLP (Natural Language Processing)](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/new-tech-nlp-natural-language-processing/) - [New Tech: No Code](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/new-tech-no-code/) - [New Tech: Starlink Internet](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/new-tech-starlink-internet/) ### Commerce, retail & social selling Retail and eCommerce models, and the shift of selling into social, live and video surfaces. (28) — https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/domain/commerce/ - [The Farfetch Turnaround Strategy](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/farfetch-turnaround-strategy-coupang/): Farfetch is back and this may only just be the beginning of the turnaround. - [Connected Commerce & Retail Media’s Boom](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/connected-commerce-retail-medias-boom/): The Retail Media Boom is the catalyst for the dawn of the Connected Commerce model. - [The Live Shopping / Video Commerce Intersection](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/live-shopping-video-commerce-intersection/): Arguably what is holding live shopping back is a lack of distribution. - [Retail Media and The Future of Advertising](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/retail-media-future-of-advertising/): Retail Media is on the rise in a multitude of ways as the media business model merges with the retail business model. - [Business Case for Video Commerce – D2C Brands](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/business-case-video-commerce-d2c-brands/): Video commerce is the perfect conduit to bridge the gap from where we are today in eCommerce – static images and text – towards a more dynamic future that incorporates multiple experiential layers in a seamless experience. - [The Live Commerce Playbook](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/the-live-commerce-playbook/): Category leaders will emerge from those who can successfully execute a Live Commerce strategy at scale in the mid-term. - [Shoppable Video & Flipping the Funnel](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/shoppable-video-flipping-the-funnel/) - [Retail, Experiences & Social Selling](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/retail-experiences-social-selling/) - [Luxury, CAC & The Next Farfetch](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/luxury-cac-the-next-farfetch/): It is more likely that the innovation comes around ‘live commerce’ where exponential gains can be made for those who can execute in creative and efficient ways. - [Live Commerce, Influencers & Conversion](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/live-shopping-influencers-conversion/): It seems like the ability of Influencers and Creators to resonate with their respective audiences is more valuable than elaborate sets, or money invested into the props of a live event. - [Social Proof, Reviews & Video Commerce](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/social-proof-reviews-video-commerce/): the point is there is more than reviews when it comes to selling online - [Web 3, Wallets & Social Commerce](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/web-3-wallets-social-commerce/) - [Brands, Digital Ads & Social Commerce](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/brands-digital-ads-social-commerce/) - [Home Shopping Network (HSN) – Business Model Case Study](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/home-shopping-network-hsn-business-model-case-study/): the business model of the Home Shopping Network was a hybrid eCommerce-Live Shopping model - [Social Commerce Business Model Canvas](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/social-commerce-business-model-canvas/): Social commerce is not social media, it is the next iteration of the eCommerce market due to demand for more immersive online experiences, along with the fusion between video technology and payments. - [Social Commerce Agency](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/social-commerce-agency/) - [Is Social Commerce the next eCommerce?](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/social-commerce-next-ecommerce/): there is strong evidence that, in terms of growth rates, Social Commerce is likely to be the next eCommerce, similar in vein to what we saw in the mid 2010s. - [Business Model Canvas – eCommerce DTC](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/business-model-canvas-ecommerce-dtc/): The CAC (Customer Acquisition Cost) is the core of the eCommerce business model. - [Faire Business Model Canvas](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/faire-business-model-canvas/): Faire is a B2B wholesale marketplace that is shaking-up local retail to make it easier for brands and retailers to discover one another and transact. - [Avon Business Model + Social Selling](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/avon-business-model-social-selling/): Social selling will likely intensify in the future, but not until brands like Avon emerge, as the model requires brand legitimacy and equity as a key component to driving sales under this type of model. - [Business Model Trends – Vintage Fashion Resale](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/vintage-fashion-business-model-trends/) - [Business Model Innovation: Made-to-Order Fashion](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/business-model-innovation-factory-to-consumer-fashion/): The value lies in the garments themselves – the materials, the craftsmanship, the story – and not in the front-end brand that sells them. - [Sustainable Fashion Marketplace Business Model](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/sustainable-fashion-marketplace-business-model/): selling sustainable clothes is one thing, but building a sustainable business model is a whole other thing - [Retail Innovation & History – Woolworths](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/retail-innovation-history-woolworths/): Born in 1852, Frank Winfield Woolworth (F. W. Woolworth) radically reinvented retail in the late 19th and early 20th century, becoming one of the most revered entrepreneurs in American history at the time of his death in 1919. - [Business Model Innovation – Resale Fashion](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/business-model-innovation-resale-fashion/): Resale is, in effect, a major business model innovation (BMi) for the retail sector. - [Business Model Canvas – Shopify](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/business-model-canvas-shopify/) - [Business Model Canvas – Farfetch](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/business-model-canvas-farfetch/): Farfetch is an online luxury fashion retailer, a company that pioneered a tech-driven model that doesn’t rely on owning inventory. - [Business Model Canvas – Fashion 2.0](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/business-model-canvas-fashion-2-0/) ### Food, grocery, logistics & housing Models anchored in physical fulfilment — restaurants, grocery, delivery, warehousing and property. (21) — https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/domain/food-logistics/ - [Instacart Business Model Analysis](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/instacart-business-model-analysis/): Instacart pioneered the model that is a hybrid B2C/B2B model with a reliance on technology and a partial gig-economy workforce. - [Restaurant Business Model – 2023 Outlook](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/restaurant-business-model-outlook/) - [Retail Business Model – 2023 Outlook](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/retail-business-model-outlook/): Being scrappy and building bridges should create a more sustainable retail business model going into 2023 and beyond. - [Thrive Market + Membership Business Model](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/thrive-market-membership-business-model/): Thrive Market has created a unique and scalable strategy in the grocery market. - [Business Model Trends – Restaurant Wholesaler](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/restaurant-wholesaler-business-model-trends/): The Business Model Trend is to rely less on centralized wholesale distribution hubs and more on decentralized warehouse-retail storefronts. - [Business Model Trends: Buyer’s Club](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/buyers-club-business-model-trends/): The key to the whole model is the Customer Relationships and the loyalty created compared to typical retailers who sell from the same product category - [Business Model Trends: Dark Stores](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/dark-stores-business-model-trends/): The Future Trend is localization. Regional bifurcation (one region versus another) will mean that what works in one area will not work in another and the choices of suppliers/producers will likely dictate who will win in the mid/long-term - [Business Model Trends: Logistics Hub](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/logistics-hub-business-model-trends/): Automation is the obvious current Trend around Logistics Hubs, but decentralization is the Future Trend. - [Business Model Trends: Co-Warehousing](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/co-warehousing-business-model-trends/): The lesson from Coworking is that leverage can kill this business model before it has a chance to blossom. - [Business Model Trends: Mid-term Rentals](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/mid-term-rentals-business-model-trends/): Not everyone wants to sign a long-term lease and stay put, nor does everybody want to live as a digital nomad year round. - [Business Model Canvas – Restaurant 2.0](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/business-model-canvas-restaurant-2-0/) - [Business Model Innovation – Grocery Delivery](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/business-model-innovation-egrocery/): The main point is that ‘going digital’ with the business model doesn’t suddenly make grocery a higher-margin business. - [Business Model Canvas – Uber](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/business-model-canvas-uber/): On the back of Uber’s autonomous vehicle tech, the current Business Model split between ridesharing and food delivery paves the way for a company that recreates how we think about movement of goods and services. - [Business Model Canvas – Food Delivery Apps](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/business-model-canvas-food-delivery-apps/): the 1st version of the Food Delivery business model is broken. - [Business Model Innovation – Ghost Kitchens](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/business-model-innovation-ghost-kitchens/): the BMi (business model innovation) that underpins the ghost kitchen concept is essential to helping ‘futureproof’ the restaurant business model itself - [Business Model Canvas – Right Move](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/business-model-canvas-rightmove/): As the UK’s leading property search portal, RightMove built a very profitable business model. - [Business Model Innovation – Homeward](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/business-model-innovation-homeward-real-estate/): In a fragile economic environment, a blended strategy between technological automation and local human expertise is a good strategic move. - [Business Model Canvas – Zillow](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/business-model-canvas-zillow/): Zillow 2.0 (Homes) seeks to become the dominant growth and profit centre of the company going forward, effectively shifting the company’s business model away from advertising towards a full-service brokerage model. - [Houzz Business Model Canvas](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/houzz-business-model-canvas/) - [Business Model Canvas – CoLiving](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/business-model-canvas-coliving/): Coliving is a model that can help pass through savings among the renters to keep rent affordable, while creating a more enjoyable atmosphere for tenants to live - [Business Model Canvas – Food](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/business-model-canvas-food/) ### Unit economics & customer analytics The measurement layer beneath a business model: acquisition cost, lifetime value, retention and customer-based valuation. (16) — https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/domain/unit-economics/ - [Analytics – Sentiment Analysis for Brands](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/how-valuable-is-sentiment-analysis-for-brands/) - [Analytics – Is Top SEO Positioning the New Prime Retail Space?](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/top-seo-positioning-new-prime-retail-space/) - [Analytics – Menus & Restaurants](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/strategy-restaurants-paradox-of-choice/): ‘87% of sales from 3 items’ was the original epiphany, a phenomena that can be explained by the paradox of choice and how in many instances, less is more in the restaurant industry. - [Analytics – Customer Acquisition Cost (CAC)](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/customer-acquisition-cost-cac-data/): The CAC ultimately eats into the Gross Margin; if we end up with a thin Contribution Margin then the whole business model will be under duress. - [Analytics: Fintech Customer Acquisition Cost](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/analytics-fintech-customer-acquisition-cost/): Customer Retention is equally as important as Customer Acquisition in Fintech. - [Analytics: eCommerce Customer Acquisition Cost](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/analytics-ecommerce-customer-acquisition-cost/): the increase in Customer Acquisition Costs (CAC) for retailers and brands on eCommerce platforms means that a greater emphasis will be required in the future on Customer Retention - [Community CAC (Customer Acquisition Cost)](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/community-customer-acquisition-cost/): a ‘community’ is in no way a cheap way to acquire customers when looking at the aggregated expense in general - [Analytics – How Referrals Drive Growth](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/referral-data/): Overall, data shows that referrals are the best-performing Cohort across businesses over time. - [Business Model Analytics – Behavioural](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/business-model-analytics-behavioural-profitability/): Behavioural Analytics can help zone in on the behaviours and motivations of the most profitable customer Cohorts for a given business. - [Business Model Analytics – Channels](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/business-model-analytics-channels-marketing/): Channel Analytics can help zone in on where the best customers originate and how to target more of them. - [Business Model Analytics – Retention](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/business-model-analytics-retention-customers/): In aggregate, the Customer Value associated with a business capable of driving a continuously-increasing rate of customer Retention is massive. - [Analytics – Measuring Customer Value](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/business-model-analytics-measuring-customer-value/): Increasing revenues, boosting margins, or increasing operational efficiency are simplistic ways to assess a business model; whereas looking at it through the lens of Customer Value can lead to powerful insights that unlock the full potential of any business into the future. - [ARPU, CAC, LTV](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/business-modelling-arpu-cac-ltv/): Unit Economics is at the absolute heart of this process. - [Business Model Analytics](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/business-model-analytics/): If there are data points that sit beneath the metrics, that data can be analyzed and repurposed to drive the metrics that ultimately affect top-line revenue and bottom-line profits. - [Loyalty Metrics – Customer Retention and Valuation](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/loyalty-metrics-customer-retention-and-valuation/): customer loyalty is a future performance indicator - [Finance – CBCV](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/finance-customer-based-corporate-valuation/): the CBCV valuation model is a relatively novel and innovative way to value publicly-traded companies ### Business model method The frameworks and process for designing, testing and validating a business model. (15) — https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/domain/method/ - [Product Design & Simplicity](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/product-design-simplicity-tips/): Making something simple is anything but easy. - [What is Business Model Innovation?](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/what-is-business-model-innovation/): Business Model Innovation is the process of unlocking new models on top of new or existing technologies. - [Process](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/bmi-process/) - [Startup Financial Models](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/startup-financial-models/) - [Dominate A Niche](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/dominate-a-niche/): For those without massive bankrolls or VC Dollars, it is important to maximize the odds of success at the earliest stages, and that’s why ‘finding a niche’ and trying to dominate it is the most common and likely effective strategy. - [Customer Development – Cashflow Forecast](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/customer-development-cashflow-forecast/): To oversimplify, we don’t want to raise capital without merit and so ‘bootstrapping’ is ideal through a Customer Discovery phase until at least the point of Customer Validation. - [Customer Development Framework – BM Validation](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/customer-development-framework-bm-validation/): Using the Customer Development framework to validate a new or emerging business model helps streamline the process. - [Rule of 3s – Business Competition](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/strategy-big-ideas-win/): Overall, there are many data points that suggest that being in the top tier of any market makes a huge difference, long-term, from both a market share and financial perspective. - [Design – How to Choose What to Choose](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/how-to-choose-what-to-choose-behavioral-science/): the behavioral science of ‘how we choose what we choose’ deals with a complex array of conscious value, beliefs, and motivations, mixed with a subconscious set of cognitive biases and emotional triggers - [Customer Validation Process](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/customer-validation/): the Value Proposition Canvas is an indispensable tool for modelling a business - [Value Proposition Process](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/value-proposition-canvas/): Overall, we must look at value from the perspective of “Jobs to Be Done” and synthesize insights within the framework of the Value Proposition Canvas in order to avoid being in the 72% who typically fail to deliver on customer expectations when they come to market. - [Business Model Innovation (BMi) Process](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/business-model-innovation-bmi-defined/): Bmi is innovation using the Business Model as the main mechanism, rather than product or technological innovation. - [Business Modelling Process](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/business-modelling-definition-process/): Overall, business modelling can help businesses – current and future – optimize and adapt with changing market conditions, and create less risk of being caught flat-footed as those conditions change. - [Strategy – Game Theory](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/strategy-game-theory/) - [Key Components of the Business Model Canvas](https://lumosbusiness.com/analyses/key-components-business-model-canvas/) ## Notebook The public build log. https://lumosbusiness.com/notebook/ - [Meta's Muse - Has the Demand Side Arrived to Agentic Commerce?](https://lumosbusiness.com/notebook/metas-muse-has-the-demand-side-arrived-to-agentic-commerce/): Muse is the first demand-side catalyst for agentic commerce at mass-market speed — and whatever happens to Muse itself, the winners are the merchants with legible storefronts and structured catalogs. - [A Startup Financial Model for the AI Inference Era](https://lumosbusiness.com/notebook/a-startup-financial-model-for-the-ai-inference-era/): An AI startup's financial model needs one new sheet and one old discipline: the AI cost stack as brackets, and spend gated by Customer Development evidence gathered from real customers. - [The HSN Reboot - A New Live Shopping Golden Era?](https://lumosbusiness.com/notebook/the-hsn-reboot-a-new-live-shopping-golden-era/): Live shopping is rebuilding HSN's four pillars on the web — host, distribution, buyer relationship, trust — and the winner will be whoever solves margin against distribution for the brands that don't need a discount. - [Claude Commerce Agents, Measured (CPCT)](https://lumosbusiness.com/notebook/claude-commerce-agents-measured-cpct/): Claude Commerce Agents were recently launched with a blueprint and claims of larger cart sizes and better conversion. Digging into the blueprint and measuring the results via CPCT reveals unique insights into the agent's performance and potential cost to rollout. The expensive part was never the model. - [The AI App Layer Thesis - Who Captures the Value?](https://lumosbusiness.com/notebook/the-ai-app-layer-thesis-who-captures-the-value/): The app layer thesis is alive and well, but it's not over yet. The frontier labs are positioned to move horizontally and capture value on the app layer, yet several companies building apps have become billion dollar entities in a short period of time. It's a barbell, where those on either end are growing exponentially, and those in the middle are getting cut out. - [The Languages of the Agentic Web](https://lumosbusiness.com/notebook/the-languages-of-the-agentic-web/): Markdown is the lingua franca of the agentic web. This post explores how agents read, speak, and are built. - [How To Write an /agents.md for a Services Business](https://lumosbusiness.com/notebook/how-to-write-an-agents-md-for-a-services-business/): The agents are taking over the web. Rather than fight the trend, this post looks at the thought process and structure for a services business to write a web-root agents.md file, theoretically making the site more discoverable. - [Agentic Modelling - What Does It Cost to Run An Agent?](https://lumosbusiness.com/notebook/agentic-modelling-what-does-it-cost-to-run-an-agent/): Agents are everywhere on the web, but they are not typically 'free' to run. So how do you model their expected cost and performance against certain workflows? This post explores a real agentic model using the CPCT. - [Agentic Websites - Whitespace and Opportunities](https://lumosbusiness.com/notebook/agentic-websites-whitespace-and-opportunities/): The agentic web is being built supply-side-first; the businesses that make themselves legible now are the ones agents will surface when demand arrives. - [Rebuilding My Website for the Agentic Web](https://lumosbusiness.com/notebook/rebuilding-my-website-for-the-agentic-web/): Two key levers of blogging have been structurally inverted: distribution has been dismantled, and LLMs have taken over - so what's a guy to do? Rebuild the website for the agentic era, of course! ## Hubs Living destinations by theme: a heritage introduction, then every analysis on the theme. - [Social & Video Commerce](https://lumosbusiness.com/social-commerce/): 21 analyses beneath "Introduction to Social Commerce" (2023) — mirror: https://lumosbusiness.com/social-commerce.md ## From the original site Heritage pages, served at their original URLs; each says why it is kept. - [Business Model Toolkit](https://lumosbusiness.com/business-model-toolkit/) (6 downloadable files) — mirror: https://lumosbusiness.com/business-model-toolkit.md - [Business Model Validation](https://lumosbusiness.com/business-model-validation/) — mirror: https://lumosbusiness.com/business-model-validation.md ## Offerings - [The CPCT Analysis](https://lumosbusiness.com/offerings/): Our method, applied to your workflow. CPCT (Cost-per-Completed-Task) is a measurement method for the economics of agentic workflows, developed openly on this site: task unit definition, agent-loop cost anatomy, honest token, failure-rate, and review-labor assumptions, and — where scope and data allow — instrumented pilot measurement so the numbers come from traces, not estimates. An engagement takes one or more of your workflows through the full method and returns a written analysis: what a completed unit of the work costs today, what it would cost agentically, and whether the numbers say automate, wait, or redesign — including what the result implies for how the work is priced. Research and analysis only: no implementation, no tool resale, no referral fees; the client owns the report. The method is early and evolving in public — engagements run on the current state of the art and feed its development. Independent practice; Claude-first methodology (Anthropic stack), not affiliated with Anthropic. Remote, North America. Fixed price from $2,000 USD (typically $2,000–3,500 by scope). - Price: fixed, from $2,000 USD (typically $2,000–3,500 by scope) · follow-on from $125 USD/hour - Duration: typically 1–3 weeks depending on scope - Engagement types: workflow CPCT analysis — one workflow, full method, written automate/wait/redesign recommendation; multi-workflow or pilot-instrumented study — the method at larger scope, with measured cost data where feasible; agentic product economics — unit economics and pricing analysis for founders building agentic products ## Inquire - [Structured inquiry](https://lumosbusiness.com/inquiry/): fields — engagement_type, context, timeline. Response within 3 business days. ## Machine-readable - Every analysis has a markdown mirror at /analyses/.md - JSON-LD (Person, Organization, Article, Service) is embedded per page - Agent operator's manual: /agents.md - Sitemap: https://lumosbusiness.com/sitemap.xml